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DECREASED EQUALIZATION AND DROUGHT PRESENT FISCAL CHALLENGES

Released on November 27, 2002

Finance Minister Eric Cline released the province's 2002-03 Mid-Year Report

this morning.



Stronger than expected economic growth, coupled with higher than forecast

prices for oil and gas and higher income tax revenues, resulted in higher

than expected own-source revenues during the first half of the budget

year. Own-source revenue - the money generated by economic activity within

Saskatchewan - is now projected to be $580.1 million higher than forecast

in the provincial budget.



"This shows that Saskatchewan's non-agricultural economy is expanding and

growing steadily, increasing Saskatchewan's ability to succeed in a

competitive global marketplace," Cline said.



On the other hand, the drought impacted both operating spending, which

increased $81.7 million over budget; as well as total debt, which increased

$521.7 million over budget.



"Nearly 90 percent of the increased expenditures are directly related to

the severe drought," Cline said, noting that Saskatchewan Environment is

projected to be up $46.9 million over budget, due largely to higher forest

fire fighting costs, and Saskatchewan Agriculture, Food and Rural

Revitalization is projected to be up $25.5 million over budget, largely due

to drought assistance for livestock producers.



"These increased expenses, along with record payments by the Saskatchewan

Crop Insurance Corporation and increased payments from the Forest Fire

Contingency Fund, are a large part of the increase in the province's debt,"

Cline said.



A $600.3 million decrease in federal transfers has had a particularly

negative impact on the province's finances.



Nearly half of the $600.3 million equalization payment reduction was the

result of unilateral federal adjustments which resulted in a significant

change in entitlements for 2002-03 and prior years.



"About half of this revenue loss was completely unexpected. As a result,

the Federal Minister of Finance has committed to a full review of the

Mining Tax Base component of the equalization program. Mr. Manley has

committed to a decision on this matter by the February, 2003 equalization

update," Cline said.



Reduced revenue and increased expenditures mean that at the mid-point in

the budget year, the financial position of the Government of Saskatchewan

has changed by $99.2 million, requiring an additional transfer from the

Fiscal Stabilization Fund to maintain a balanced budget this year.



"While the dramatic reduction in federal transfers has created an

unexpected financial challenge for Saskatchewan, we will continue to fund

the priorities of Saskatchewan people, like health and education," Cline

said.



The report also contains detailed progress reports on government spending

initiatives outlined in the 2002-03 Budget.



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To view a recording of the Minister of Finance issuing the Mid-Year Report,

go to www.gov.sk.ca/finance and click on the animated computer icon.

Instructions will guide you through the videostreaming process. A copy of

the report is also available for download.





For more information, contact:



Roy Schneider

Saskatchewan Finance

Regina

Phone: (306) 787-8109

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