Released on February 9, 2015
Warm Temperatures in January Lower Snowpack; Near Normal Runoff Expected
Today, the Water Security Agency (WSA) released the February forecast for spring runoff. A near normal spring runoff is expected across most of the southern half of Saskatchewan with below normal runoff for areas north of Cold Lake, La Ronge, and Creighton.
“Most of the province was saturated going into winter freeze up but warm temperatures in the month of January have helped lower the snowpack,” Minister Responsible for the Water Security Agency Scott Moe said. “The Water Security Agency will be monitoring precipitation levels and conducting snow surveys to get a clearer picture of what the runoff outlook will be as we move closer to spring.”
The spring runoff forecast has the potential to change in the weeks and months ahead. Below normal snowfall and a slower melt rate would result in below normal runoff. Conversely, above normal precipitation going forward and a rapid melt could still result in high runoff and potential flooding.
Extreme rainfall events are very unpredictable as the province experienced in the summer of 2014. As always, excess rainfall in the spring could significantly alter the runoff outlook and create excess moisture in some areas.
The WSA will continue conducting snow surveys as part of forecasting the spring melt and subsequent runoff. Updated forecasts will be provided in March and April. For more information or to view the full forecast, visit www.wsask.ca.
For more information, contact:
Water Security Agency